Velvet carpets, exquisite state dinners, Arabian horses and cybertruck motorcades. It is impossible to overstate the over-the-top display of opulence and luxury that flanked U.S. President Donald Trump at every step of his trip to the region. As in his first term, Trump gave the Saudis and the Gulf states the honor of his inaugural overseas trip. In return, they lavished him with royal gestures and grandeur and eye-popping landmark contracts totaling approximately $2 trillion.
The breathtaking extravaganza did little to gaslight a broad range of critics, though. Some on the left expressed concern about these deepening economic ties between the United States and countries with a checkered human rights record. They also raised eyebrows at the airplane offered as a gift by Qatar. Some on the right reminded the president of the Saudis’ involvement in the Sept. 11 terror attacks and Doha’s less-than-ideal ties to terrorism. On the Israel front, however, many rushed to conclude that Trump has snubbed Israel in favor of a love affair with some of its rogue neighbors, especially those who harbored Hamas’s leadership and harshly condemned Israel throughout this war.
The truth, however, transcends these concerns. Trump executed an impressive acrobatic feat from his foreign policy playbook with flawless precision. His philosophy came to full display during this trip: strong economic ties as a prescription for forging political and security alliances. Investing in Ukraine’s rare-earth minerals is therefore akin to investing in Saudi Arabia’s AI data centers and Qatar’s counter-drone capabilities; Both serve to entrench American presence and dominance in the region, rather than diplomatic pleasantries. For Trump, business removes barriers.
When Trump called the region to embrace “commerce, not chaos” and export “technology, not terrorism,” he appealed to this same sentiment reaching out to a region redefined by younger leaders who wish to leave past differences behind and develop significant economic powerhouses comfortably cushioned under the auspices of a strong American umbrella. Trump’s background as a real estate mogul was particularly highlighted as he praised the “majestic skyscrapers” and called to “build cities together.” He even complimented the Qatari palace’s “perfect marble.”
Such utilitarian pragmatism, however, should be taken with a grain of salt in a region rife with ideological fault lines. If Trump expects the former Hayat Tahrir al-Sham jihadist or the terror sponsors in Doha to somehow neglect their radical aspirations for the prospect of economic prosperity, then he’s in for an overly optimistic illusion that could undermine American interests. Iran also opened its markets to the world following the 2015 nuclear deal, officially the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, JCPOA, only to use the money for its nuclear program and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC); and Qatar weaponizes its blood money for Hamas, ISIS and radicalizing the American youth in prestigious universities. However, Trump shows no signs of ignoring these realities. On the contrary, he complements his optimism with the waving of a big stick.
This change of tune does not imply a change of tone: Trump is far from losing sight of his strategic geopolitical objectives. He has doubled down on them. Regarding Iran, Israel’s foremost concern and a regime that poses a real threat to the United States and global security, Trump did not disappoint. In his remarks in Riyadh, Trump mentioned Iran no less than 19 times, accusing it of funding “terror and death all over the world” and calling it the “most destructive force” in the region and focusing heavily on its part in wrecking Syria. His remarks triggered an angry response in Tehran. Crucially, he underscored that the regime “cannot have a nuclear weapon.” Trump said that he would be “happy to make a deal,” and hinted that such a deal could be coming soon, but paired the offer with an equally clear threat, warning that there is no time to wait. During his visit in 2022, then-President Joe Biden simply demanded that Iran go back to its vague commitments under the problematic 2015 nuclear deal.
Regarding Gaza, a host of false reporting in the Arab media led some to believe that Trump will somehow throw Israel under the bus or force its hand into capitulating in Gaza or accept a Palestinian state. Yet the war was barely mentioned in the trip, to the point where pro-Palestinian advocates accused the president of forgetting Gaza and pushing it on to the sidelines of U.S. diplomacy. While in Qatar, Hamas’s top sponsor, Trump reiterated his plan to take administrative control over Gaza, making it a “freedom zone,” and he advanced his plan to relocate Gazans.
Finally, Trump called upon “all civilized people” to condemn the Hamas-led terrorist attacks in southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, and demanded the release of all hostages. He said a bright future in Gaza cannot occur if its leaders “kidnap, torture and target innocent men, women, and children for political ends.” Trump made these calls right there, in the heart of the Arab peninsula, in front of hundreds of Arab leaders.
Not only did Trump not turn his back on Israel, he used the occasion to advance his vision for the new regional security architecture, one that perfectly aligns with that of Israel. He urged Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, forging an American-Arab-Israeli alliance that presents a unified front against Iran. Trump went a step further by extending the same offer to the once-jihadist Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and shocking the world by removing U.S. sanctions against that country, saying he wants to “give them a chance at greatness” and that “it’s their time to shine” while urging al-Sharaa to normalize ties with Israel. This could be a bridge too far, but with Trump, surprises are an integral part of routine.
Inasmuch as the trip took place in the Middle East, Trump also on his part kept his eye sharp on the Far East and his adversary in Beijing. Over the past decade, China has ramped up its investments in the region, taking advantage of an American disinterest and disengagement from the region. In 2022, China’s total bilateral good trade volume in the Middle East and North Africa reached $368.4 billion, more than double than the United States’ $144 billion. America cannot play second fiddle to China, and Trump is leaving the region with pockets full of cash and an avalanche of companies signing deals, much to Beijing’s dismay.
Trump articulates a purely pragmatic, common-sense mercantilism that aligns with his utilitarian worldview—embracing prescriptions that work, rejecting premises that fail and giving a chance for money to speak. His optimism and economic investment are far from being reminiscent of those of the European Union, in comparison. The E.U. has long embraced economic power and cultural allure as tenets of foreign policy, yet failed to deliver pragmatism, project military power or sustain a reliable economic infrastructure, with untold debt, painfully slow growth and crippling regulations. Trump complemented his optimism with the clear commitment of a superpower, and an unprecedented $1 trillion defense budget.
Trump’s worldview is no big mystery, but this trip highlighted it in bright letters. He offered a “strong and steady hand” to the Saudi crown prince and spoke with American troops next to the banner “peace through strength”. He exhibited American leadership against the backdrop of those who still believe he is based on isolationism. President Trump offered a golden tray of opportunity, dreaming of “the dawn of the bright new day that awaits for the people of the Middle East” and giving rogue regimes the chance to “shine.” But unlike the appeasing leaders of the past who made promises of a “new Middle East,” Trump carries the cadence of command.
America’s presence now comes with demands, albeit implicit. This renewed American footprint in the region will alienate China, pull Arab countries to America’s orbit, cement the unified front against Iran and design the security architecture that Israel has been advocating for. If Trump succeeds in making good on his promise to deny Iran of nuclear weapons, cut a peace deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia with no significant perks to the Palestinians, and fundamentally change the security reality in Gaza, he will go down in history as the president who reshaped Israel’s strategic posture in the region. Time will tell.
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'Topics': 'israel-at-war,fatah,hamas,samaria,tulkarem,palestinian-terrorism',
'publication_date': '24/7/23',
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