Newsletter
Newsletter Support JNS

After Caracas, Tehran trembles

From Venezuela to Iran, the geopolitical map of the war against democracies is being redrawn and the jihadist axis faces collapse.

Hasan Izadi
Hasan Izadi, an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps official in Iran who a U.S. official says planned to assassinate the Israeli ambassador to Mexico in 2024 and 2025, shakes hands with Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in a photo which the Iranian embassy in Caracas posted on May 24, 2024. Source: Screen capture of Iranian embassy in Caracas Instagram post.
Fiamma Nirenstein is an Italian-Israeli journalist, author and senior research fellow at the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs (JCFA). An adviser on antisemitism to Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, she served in the Italian Parliament (2008-2013) as vice president of the Foreign Affairs Committee. A founding member of the Friends of Israel Initiative, she has written 15 books, including October 7, Antisemitism and the War on the West, and is a leading voice on Israel, the Middle East, Europe and the fight against antisemitism.

After the U.S. bombing of Caracas over the weekend, eyes in Tehran, Moscow and Beijing are now fixed on the skies. As Venezuela’s captured president, Nicolás Maduro, edges toward judgment, the intercontinental battlefield between the West and its enemies is being fully exposed.

The most intricate web runs between Tehran and Caracas: a jihadist axis intertwined with drug trafficking, generating enormous revenues and securing strategic positions for a war against democratic societies. This is not conjecture. It has been built methodically for some two decades.

The timing of U.S. President Donald Trump’s strike—on the anniversary of the killing of Qasem Soleimani—was deliberate. Soleimani was the architect of Iran’s transoceanic Shi’ite strategy, with Hezbollah as its spearhead. Historian David Wurmser is right: this marks a revival of a Monroe Doctrine logic—defense through decisive action.

The poles today are Maduro’s Venezuela and Ali Khamenei’s Iran. Trump’s warning (Shoot protesters and the United States “will come to their rescue”) was unprecedented— and today its meaning is clear.

The alliance dates back to 2005, when Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad visited Venezuela at the invitation of its president, Hugo Chávez. From that moment, Venezuela became a hub where jihadist politics merged with narcotrafficking. Hezbollah embedded itself across Latin America, from money laundering to antisemitic terror and paramilitary training, including on Margarita Island.

In 2022, as Iranian women were being slaughtered during the “Woman, Life, Freedom” uprising, Venezuela secretly allocated one million hectares of land to Iran. Officially agricultural. Strategically, a forward operating base at America’s doorstep.

Today, the axis is cracking. Maduro faces prosecution. Hezbollah is weakened and trapped, even as it dreams of resuming war against Israel alongside Hamas. Inside Iran, more than 20 cities burn. Students, women and workers confront the regime’s armed guards. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fires, but the people no longer submit.

Iranians are starving while their rulers invest in jihad and missiles. After humiliation and failure, contempt for the regime grows. The chants—invoking Reza Pahlavi and calling for Khamenei’s downfall—are unmistakable.

If the Venezuelan regime collapses and Iran follows, the consequences will be global. China protests. Russia fumes. The United Nations will issue its familiar condemnations. But history will have turned a page.

As American broadcaster Mark Levin observed, such a moment would resemble the fall of the Berlin Wall—a victory over totalitarianism greater than any prize.

“This is the ‘medical aid’ found aboard the PR stunt flotilla: condoms and drugs,” said Israel’s Foreign Ministry.
“People shouldn’t think that, ‘Oh this is not going to happen to me,’” the 32-year-old Judaic studies teacher told JNS. “It can happen to anyone walking the streets, anyone with their groceries.”
“When influential voices spread conspiracy theories, promote terrorism or dehumanize Jewish people, it fuels real-world violence and intimidation,” Rep. Josh Gottheimer said.
The attacker yelled “free Palestine” at the victim, Israel Bachar, the Israeli consul general to the Pacific Southwest, told JNS.
“We want Skokie to act firmly and rapidly to try and prevent more incidents like this from happening,” Susan Haggard, president of the Chicago Jewish Alliance, told JNS.
Hamas “must irreversibly surrender their path of terror,” Mike Waltz, U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, said.