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Jacques Neriah

Jacques Neriah

Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah, a special analyst for the Middle East at the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, was formerly a foreign-policy adviser to Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and the deputy head for assessment of Israeli Military Intelligence.

One possible answer is that Hezbollah believes a war with Israel would allow it to break the political deadlock in Lebanon, to the advantage of itself and its patron, Iran.
Despite Ayatollah Khamenei’s New Year declarations, Iran’s efforts to strengthen its position in Africa have seen no significant breakthrough.
The Islamic republic hopes to spread Shi’ism and counter Israel’s diplomatic progress in Africa.
Lebanon wants the refugees out, but Syria does not want them back in.
Hezbollah wants a united front led by Iranian proxies.
Political gridlock, rampant corruption, a plunging currency, galloping inflation and deepening poverty have left the Lebanese people in despair.
Iran’s drive to dominate the region is facing a strong pushback from Sunni Arab states.
In countries plagued by instability, economic crisis and internal conflict, the Islamists are taking over.
Despite losing its majority, the terror group’s potential for nuisance is greater than ever.
While the elimination of its leader Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi by U.S. special forces dealt ISIS a setback, it has managed to reorganize and recover from its 2017 defeat.
The deeper the country’s crises grow, the more the weakest in Lebanese society will suffer from discrimination, hostility, abuse and marginalization.
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states have caught Hezbollah and its Iranian patron by surprise, on an unexpected battlefield.