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How will American Israelis vote?

Americans on both sides of the Israel debate have criticized the current administration's handling of the conflict. For Israeli-American voters, this has raised a crucial question: Which candidate do they trust?

Stickers on a table during in-person absentee voting on Nov. 1, 2024 in Little Chute, Wisconsin. Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images.
Stickers on a table during in-person absentee voting on Nov. 1, 2024 in Little Chute, Wisconsin. Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images.

The 2024 presidential race has entered the home stretch, following months of extensive coverage of Republican candidate former president Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris. While each candidate has their own campaign strategy, they share one consensus: the significance of their positions on the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. This issue takes on additional significance when it comes to dual citizens—American Israelis—who make up a distinct voting bloc.

Following a year of volatile protests across American campuses, rising antisemitism, hostages still being held in Gaza and an ongoing war with no end in sight, Americans on both sides of the Israel debate have criticized the current administration’s handling of the conflict. For Israeli-American voters, this has raised a crucial question: which candidate do they trust with their vote?

“I didn’t realize how seriously American Israelis take this election until I posted an Instagram story asking for help signing up,” said Daria Bar, a 30-year-old American-Israeli resident of Haifa. “I was bombarded with messages advising me who I should vote for and why, even though my mind was set on Trump. I felt many judged me for it—someone even said it was ‘out of character’ for me. Trump is definitely a controversial person, but if the question is what’s best for Israel’s interests, there’s absolutely no doubt. After Harris acknowledged Israel was ‘committing genocide,’ how could I vote for her?”

For dual citizens, the significance of this election extends beyond typical partisan politics. In the aftermath of Oct. 7, 2023, many find themselves weighing each candidate’s potential impact on the two nations, having to consider what might serve America’s interests versus Israel’s needs during wartime.

For some, there is no right choice.

“In my 35 years in Israel, I have always voted in the U.S. presidential elections. I did not even consider not voting until maybe a month ago. I’ve debated intensely with myself and a few close friends and I have decided not to vote,” said a 67-year-old American-Israeli resident of Binyamina who chose to remain anonymous.

“I could never vote for Trump because of the type of president he was and no doubt would be in the future. While I can agree with some of his policies, especially as regards Israel, I am absolutely unable to return this type of person to such a powerful role,” he said.

“Early on, I thought I could support Harris, even though as VP she never really impressed me as an assertive person with clear objectives,” he continued. “But in the last month, I sense that she is absolutely not clear, perhaps not even with herself, and certainly not strong enough to lead the free world. Her stance on Israel is the worst it could be in my view—it’s ambiguous and seems intentionally uninformed. I could not vote for her either. I’ve always valued my vote from Israel, but for the first time, I feel like I don’t want to participate in this at all. It is a very difficult feeling for me.”

For others, the choice is clear but meaningless.

Raz Elfar, 29, an American-Israeli resident of Tel Aviv, won’t be voting either, though he believes Trump is the obvious choice.

“Being registered in California, I knew from the start I wouldn’t vote—there’s simply no motivation to do so. But if I could, I’d vote for Trump, which I believe should be obvious, even for non-Israelis. Look at Trump’s presidency—the world was in a far better place. Now we’re witnessing chaos on all fronts: Russia-Ukraine, China-Taiwan, North Korea, Iran-Israel, Oct. 7—all unfolding under Biden’s watch.”

The White House, he said, “needs a stronger presence. Trump’s actions consistently demonstrated his support for Israel. While Biden has been helpful in many ways, I sense Harris holds a less favorable stance toward our interests. Choosing Trump serves both American and Israeli interests—with World War III looming, it’s time for the sheriff to return to town.”

According to a new survey by the Israel Democracy Institute, many Israelis share this sentiment. The poll shows they strongly prefer former Trump over Harris when it comes to Israel’s interests. Approximately two-thirds of respondents indicated Trump would be better for Israel, while only 13% favored Harris.

The political breakdown among Jewish respondents in Israel revealed that 90% of right-wing voters and 52% of centrists believe Trump would be more beneficial for Israel, while the left favors Harris over Trump (42% versus 29%). Gender analysis in Israel showed a moderate gap, with 69% of men preferring Trump compared to 60% of women. The most striking difference appeared in age demographics: An overwhelming 90% of young Israelis believe Trump would better serve Israel’s interests, compared to just 55% of older respondents.

The results may be unpredictable, but one thing is certain: Never has the American public, including American-Israeli voters, been more divided over an election.

As both American and American-Israeli voters prepare to cast their ballots or choose to sit this election out, Israelis, too, are watching intently to see which leader will shape the war’s trajectory moving forward.

Originally published by Israel Hayom.

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