Andrew Cuomo, the former New York governor, leads anti-Israel state representative Zohran Mamdani by 13 points—43% to 30%—in a newly-released Manhattan Institute poll, about a week before the June 24 New York City Democratic mayoral primary.
The remaining vote share in the poll shows City Council speaker Adrienne Adams receiving 7%, current city comptroller Brad Lander at 6% and former comptroller Scott Stringer at 5%.
The poll is based on a survey of 1,000 likely voters in the city’s upcoming mayoral election, including an oversampling of 644 Democratic primary voters. It was conducted between June 10 and 16.
New York City’s “ranked” voting system allows voters to list multiple candidates in order of preference. Their votes are redistributed when lower-ranked candidates are removed. The new poll conducted up to 10 ranked-choice voting simulations.
In the 10th and final round of the simulation, Cuomo defeats Mamdani by 12 points—56% to 44%.
Among Cuomo’s first-choicers, 36% list crime and public safety as a top concern, while just 5% of Mamdani supporters do the same, according to the survey. The anti-Israel rep takes 60% of first-choice voters aged 18 to 34, while Cuomo drew just 10% of that demographic.
