Aviram Bellaishe Archives - JNS.org

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Aviram Bellaishe

Aviram Bellaishe is vice president of strategy, security and communications at the Jerusalem Center. He is presently a member of the executive committee of MENA 2050.

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei addresses the media after casting of his ballot in the presidential runoff elections in Tehran on June 28, 2024. Photo by Majid Saeedi via Getty Images.

A Trump win has Iran recalculating its war with Israel

Tehran understands that it must avert an Israeli strike on its nuclear facilities, which the incoming U.S. administration may allow.

Aviram Bellaishe

Nov. 25, 2024

Iranian Intelligence Minister Mahmoud Alevi (right) sits next to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Source: Khamenei.ir.

Upended by his own game: Khamenei faces psychological warfare

The supreme leader may well regret moving from the proxy method to direct warfare against Israel.

Aviram Bellaishe

Aug. 19, 2024

Yahya Sinwar, leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip, at a rally in Beit Lahiya, May 30, 2021. Photo by Atia Mohammed/Flash90.

Hostage deal: Ceasefire and Islam 2.0

Only at the brink of defeat will Hamas call for a hudna—a tactical move in the jihadist war, aimed at allowing it to regroup and rearm.

Aviram Bellaishe

Aug. 13, 2024

Aerial view of oil tankers at the Khark Island loading terminal at sunrise. The water is shallow in the northern end of the Persian Gulf and oil has to be piped 25 miles out to the island for loading on tankers. Iran, 1968. Photo by Dean Conger/Corbis via Getty Images.

How Iran finances attacks against Israel

Disrupting Iran's oil tankers will disrupt Iran's economy and hence Iran's proxies.

Aviram Bellaishe

Aug. 7, 2024