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Jacques Neriah

Jacques Neriah

Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah, a special analyst for the Middle East at the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, was formerly a foreign-policy adviser to Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and the deputy head for assessment of Israeli Military Intelligence.

The sudden eradication of the Shi’ite militia would be a systemic shock that threatens the integrity of the Lebanese state.
The message was clear: Hezbollah would resist at any cost and would not accept dictates from the government.
Hezbollah’s refusal to disarm and Beirut’s inability to control it means Israel may need to deliver a crushing blow to the terrorist group.
American Ambassador Thomas Barrack has introduced two potentially dramatic shifts to break the impasse and lead the parties to an agreement.
Given the firm stance of Hezbollah and Iran, and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun’s commitment to national consensus, the prospect of the terrorist group disarming in the near future seems dim.
The terrorist organization continues to flex its muscles, reorganize in the area, and prepare for a resumption of hostilities with Israel.
The Lebanese Armed Forces have not completed its deployment to the south, and the Lebanese government has failed to provide the United States with a timetable.
Hezbollah has suffered several major setbacks since Oct. 8, 2023, and significant changes seem to be occurring within Lebanon’s Shi’ite community and the terror group itself.
Analyzing the positions of the U.S. administration, Iran, Hezbollah and Israel, none of the parties is interested in a regional war.
Hezbollah’s rebranding indicates its status as a full-fledged Iranian proxy.
The two sides have entrenched themselves in opposing positions which seem almost impossible to bridge.
Yitzhak Rabin mistakenly believed that Yasser Arafat had come to terms with the existence of Israel.