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Oded Granot

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. Source: Screenshot.

The momentum in Vienna is already empowering Hezbollah

The very fact that a nuclear deal is nearing has given a tailwind to Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah, who has been ratcheting up the threats against Israel.

August 30, 2022

Negotiators meet in Vienna to discuss the Iran nuclear deal, May 2021. Source: Enrique Mora/European External Action Service/Twitter.

Israel must focus on freedom to operate against Iran

If Washington decides to enter a bad nuclear deal with Tehran, there is little Israel can do to stop it.

August 22, 2022

A Palestinian Islamic Jihad fighter participates in a military parade in the Al-Shati refugee camp, west of Gaza City, on June 24, 2022. Photo by Attia Muhammed/Flash90.

The collapse of Islamic Jihad’s equations

Israel refused to bow to the terrorist group’s threats, instead going on the offensive. And thus far, Hamas hasn’t fired a single rocket in solidarity.

August 7, 2022

Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah flanked by Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the late Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani. Credit: Khamenei.ir.

Nasrallah is risking another Lebanon war

The Hezbollah leader may be about to repeat the same mistake he made in 2006, when he underestimated Israel’s response to a provocation.

July 27, 2022

U.S. President Joe Biden boards Air Force One for Saudi Arabia after a farewell ceremony in his honor at Ben-Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on July 15, 2022. Photo by Yonatan Sindel/Flash90.

The Arabs don’t trust Biden

Even after the presidential visit, Washington will have to work hard to convince its Arab partners in the Middle East that the U.S. is, indeed, determined to handle Iran and fill the vacuum that allowed Russia and China to step in.

July 17, 2022

U.S. President Joe Biden participates in a conference phone call in the Oval Office of the White House on Feb. 16, 2021. Credit: Official White House Photo by Lawrence Jackson.

The dream of a Mideast NATO will not come true

Concerned as they might be about the threat Iran poses to the Middle East, several countries in the region do not want to anger the Islamic republic.

July 11, 2022

U.S. President Joe Biden during a speech in Washington, D.C., in 2022. Credit: Luca Perra/Shutterstock.

Biden’s Mideast visit will be more complicated than he thought

Israel will want guarantees on any nuclear deal with Iran, while Biden will have to put on a brave face when he meets the Saudi crown prince.

June 29, 2022

The UAE and Israeli flags. Credit: Leonid Altman/Shutterstock.

UAE sees Iran as a threat, but talks to everyone

No one need be alarmed at reports that the UAE is in contact with Iran. If the Vienna talks fail, the Emirati connection could wind up being a vital communications channel.

December 14, 2021

Ebrahim Raisi. Credit: Mohammad Hossein Taaghi via Wikimedia Commons.

The Biden administration has a Raisi problem

One thing is absolutely certain: Washington’s restraint in the face of ongoing Iranian red-line violations is what emboldened Tehran to launch the suicide drone at the oil tanker.

August 4, 2021