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August 4, 2021
The Biden administration has a Raisi problem
One thing is absolutely certain: Washington’s restraint in the face of ongoing Iranian red-line violations is what emboldened Tehran to launch the suicide drone at the oil tanker.
May 13, 2021
Hamas is losing the upper hand
The terror group would sign a ceasefire in a heartbeat if offered the opportunity. Its leaders understand that their situation is bad and getting worse by the minute.
April 5, 2021
Jordan’s King Abdullah clips the wings of a rival to the crown prince
The Arab Spring left monarchies in place, but Arab monarchs fearful for their thrones and dynasties. Jordan’s king has taken steps to ensure that the crown goes to his own son rather than his popular half-brother.
March 31, 2021
Time is on Tehran’s side
It seems that the Iranians have found ways to bypass U.S. sanctions, and instead of rushing to grab Biden’s proposals with two hands, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is now signaling that the Islamic Republic is in absolutely no hurry.
February 11, 2021
An impatient Iran is turning up the heat
Pressed for time because its economy is suffering immensely under crippling sanctions, the regime in Tehran is making threats to coax America back to the negotiating table.
September 9, 2020
UAE-Israel deal casts a shadow on Palestinian leaders
P.A. leader Mahmoud Abbas is afraid that former Fatah strongman Mohammed Dahlan will return from exile with UAE backing, while Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh is looking over his shoulder at his predecessor, Khaled Mashaal.
February 4, 2020
The Palestinian street has lost faith in Abbas
In the twilight of his rule, the leader of the Palestinian Authority is perceived as irrelevant.
January 8, 2020
Putin needs quiet, not war, to achieve his goals in the Middle East
From Syria to Turkey to Libya, the Russian president is trying to prevent the situation in the region from spiraling out of control.
January 1, 2020
Iran plays its Trump card in Iraq
Tehran clearly intends to exploit the “embassy incident” to rally public support in Iraq for expelling U.S. forces from the country, presenting President Trump with a dilemma.
October 13, 2019
Erdoğan’s Syria gambit may revive the Islamic State
The Kurds’ warnings that the Turkish military operation in northern Syria will give ISIS a shot in the arm might be somewhat exaggerated, but are not baseless or unreasonable.
August 26, 2019
Soleimani has been frustrated, but he won’t rest
For months now, the commander of Iran’s Quds Force has tried settling the score for the hundreds of airstrikes Israel has conducted on Iranian facilities and bases in Syria. His most recent embarrassment will only increase his appetite for revenge.
July 22, 2019
Iran sanctions not cutting it
Sanctions may be taking their toll, but are falling short of preventing Iran from running amok across the Persian Gulf. Western powers must come up with a military strategy.
July 17, 2019
Iran and the US lower the flames, for now
It’s unclear whether the formula for resolving the crisis has been found, but optimistic leaks from the White House have caused global oil prices to plummet.
June 23, 2019
Iran calls the American bluff
Tehran has apparently concluded that for a number of reasons, it can sting the United States without getting stung back.
May 22, 2019
If Gulf crisis worsens, Israel won’t be able to keep out of it
The White House is still hoping that despite their recalcitrant statements, the Iranians will come to their senses and agree to return to the negotiating table.